Premier League Relegation Betting Guide 2023/24

One of the certainties regarding the Premier League each season is that three teams will be relegated to the Championship. These days, bookmakers allow you to bet on the identity of those sides, both pre-season and during the campaign, with the market swinging back and forth as teams drop in and out of the bottom three.

Promoted clubs such as Nottingham Forest, Bournemouth and Fulham are the favourites to go down. If you are wondering how relegation betting works, you’ve come to the right place. You’ll discover which bookies offer this market, which teams are likely to be fighting for survival and if there can be any valuable relegation betting odds in backing a surprise candidate to go down.

Current Relegation Betting Odds

The prices can wildly fluctuate during the season based on performance. A team expected to go down could see their odds rise if they make a strong start, such as the 2019-20 relegation favourites Sheffield United who eventually finished ninth.

Meanwhile, a team considered to be fairly safe could see their price plummet if their opening results disappoint. Here are the current Premier League relegation betting odds.

EPL Team	Relegation Odds	EPL Team	Relegation Odds
Bournemouth	1.67	Nottingham Forrest	2.00
Fulham	2.52	Leeds	3.50
Brentford	3.75	Southampton	4.50
Everton	6.00	Wolves	6.50
Crystal Palace	7.50	Brighton	10.00
Leicester	17.00	Aston Villa	21.00
West Ham	26.00	Newcastle	34.00
Arsenal	501.00	Manchester Utd	751.00
Tottenham	1001.00	Chelsea	2501.00
Liverpool	4501.00	Manchester City	5001.00

How to Make Money off Premiership Relegation Betting

In each season, the teams finishing in the bottom three positions go down to the Championship. They are officially relegated when they can no longer mathematically gain enough points to finish outside the bottom three. When engaging in Premier League relegation betting, you should consider multiple aspects.

An obvious one is where they finished in the previous season. Were they involved in the relegation fight and only narrowly avoided the drop? Or were they promoted, with 45% of teams coming up from the Championship relegated within a single season. Recently promoted teams may not have a squad of sufficient quality to stay up, nor the money to improve it.

They may also have a manager suited to winning promotion from the Championship but not equipped to lead a gruelling fight against relegation. On the other hand, teams from the EPL may struggle if they have lost key players or an effective manager. Another thing to consider is the fixture list.

If a side has a tough start to the season, there might be an opportunity to back them at a relatively high price before it drops. The fixture list can decide whether it’s best to bet on a team to go down before the season starts, or if they have an easy start, wait until the relegation betting odds improve later in the season.

If you can back a team at a high price that drops lower during the season, you’ll be able to cash out for a guaranteed profit, which could be sensible if you think they have a chance of escaping relegation.

Best Premier League Relegation Betting sites

When we identify sites that are good for a bet on Premier League relegation, there are certain criteria that we look out for. We recommend sites that provide competitive odds for all selections and quickly update the markets during the season.

We also like Premier League betting sites to give the facility to Cash Out. Some sites don’t allow you to cash out wagers on special markets, so check to see if it’s available.

Our top Premier League Relegation Predictions

Amongst the favourites to be relegated are different types of clubs. There are the ones that have been promoted, a team that barely avoided the drop last season and a team that was promoted in 2021-22 and flourished.

Below is our verdict on the bottom five in relegation betting. Also, feel free to check our EPL betting tips today. We offer daily predictions on several markets, including specials. 

Bournemouth - 1.67 (4/6) to be relegated

The relegation favourites have a tough start, playing three of the last season’s top five within their first four games. Though their odds are short, they could be lower still after those fixtures, so back them now. Scott Parker is a talented manager, but this squad isn’t good enough.

Nottingham Forest - 2.00 (1/1) to be relegated

Forest may be the promoted team that can survive the drop. They were transformed after Steve Cooper was appointed and look to have made some canny signings, such as Dean Henderson on loan, new wing-backs Neco Williams and Omar Richards, along with Moussa Niakhate and Taiwo Awoniyi, who both flourished in the Bundesliga.

Fulham - 2.52 (6/4) to be relegated

The Championship title holders are the best value to go down of all the promoted clubs. In both the 2018-19 and 2020-21 seasons, they went straight back down after winning promotion and in Marco Silva, they have a manager that has been relegated with Hull before having his struggles at this level with Watford and Everton. Back them at these odds.

Leeds - 3.50 (5/2) to be relegated

Narrowly avoided relegation last season and have since sold their two best players. Have a reasonably kind start to the season, so it may be prudent to wait to see how they fare before backing. Leeds has been busy in the transfer market, but all their signings are young and lack Premier League experience. The jury is still out on Marsch. Overall, Leeds looks like the most likely of the established Premier League clubs to go down.

Brentford - 3.75 (11/4) to be relegated

Survived their first season back in the top flight and, aside from Christian Eriksen, have not lost any of their players. Brentford has also recruited smartly, bringing in young British talents such as Aaron Hickey and Keane Lewis-Potter. There isn’t much justification for Brentford being a shorter price than the likes of Southampton and Everton. The Bees should stay up.

Years in the EPL

The following table shows the teams relegated from the Premier League over the last ten years and the number of seasons they had spent in the top flight.

Season	18th	Years in EPL	19th	Years in EPL	20th	Years in EPL
2021-22	Burnley	6	Watford	1	Norwich	1
2020-21	Fulham	1	West Brom	1	Sheffield Utd	2
2019-20	Bournemouth	5	Watford	5	Norwich	1
2018-19	Cardiff	1	Fulham	1	Huddersfield	2
2017-18	Swansea	7	Stoke	10	West Brom	8
2016-17	Hull	1	Middlesbrough	1	Sunderland	10
2015-16	Newcastle	6	Norwich	1	Aston Villa	28
2014-15	Hull	2	Burnley	1	QPR	1
2013-14	Norwich	3	Fulham	13	Cardiff	1
2012-13	Wigan	8	Reading	1	QPR	2

When considering betting Premier League relegation odds, it’s noticeable that two promoted clubs have gone down in three of the last four seasons. There has also been only one season that all three promoted clubs stayed up.

Similar Markets to Consider

If you are not sure that relegation betting holds a lot of value, do not worry. Online bookmakers provide an array of alternatives you can take advantage of that correlate to the relegation. Let's see some of the top ones: 

⏩ Next Manager Betting: Usually, when a team loses its' place in the top flight, the head coach is sacked. After that, you can bet on who will replace him. Teams playing in the Championship primary select English managers who have experience promoting clubs back to the EPL.  

⏩ Transfer Betting: From a financial standpoint, when a team is relegated, it is expected to lose all their top players because they will not be able to afford their salaries while playing in the Championship. EPL bookies will give you high odds on a star's next step. To learn more about how to bet on football transfers, follow our guide. 

⏩ Premier League Top 4 Betting: Opposite to relegation, you can back which teams will finish in the top four spots of the table. Obviously, teams like Man City will be offered on very low odds that are not really worth it. What you can do is wait for a slow start from one of the top clubs and bet on them to finish in the top four mid-season. 

Best Bookmakers for Relegation Betting

Relegation betting can be an exciting market. It’s never certain which teams go down, with history proving that there can often be a surprise team after several years in the top flight. The market fluctuates throughout the season, depending on results.

Teams that are massive favourites to go down sometimes stay up and sides considered safe and available at big odds are ultimately relegated. Betting on Premier League Relegation markets can therefore be lucrative. Here is our complete list of bookmakers.